Showing posts with label Other. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Other. Show all posts

Thursday, 14 January 2010

Humorous article warning: "Google v China"

The Daily Mash take a humorous look at the recent Google v China fight. The impact of Google's new tough stance will be interesting to watch. I suspect Google were not making much money anyway so this is not such a large loss although it is evidence that globalisation is not always a one way street.

Limited tex provided due to bad language and subversive nature of the text.

GOOGLE AND CHINA IN BATTLE TO ENSLAVE YOU [Daily Mash]

THE last great battle of our time was underway last night as Google and China began fighting for control of every living thing on the face of the Earth.

A fragile truce between the world's two biggest powers collapsed as Google accused China of reneging on a deal which would see the search giant control North and South America and those parts of Africa where people can afford netbooks.


Google said China was planning to use Great Britain as a launch pad for a transatlantic invasion instead of simply turning the country into a gigantic pork farm and round-the-clock abattoir.

China is now mobilising the four million troops of the People's Liberation Army, while Google is understood to be upgrading YouTube to allow for faster streaming of those strangely hypnotic, homemade pop videos.



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Professor Henry Brubaker, of the Institute for Studies, said: "It's very evenly balanced. China has millions and millions and millions of people, whereas Google has things like Chrome, Street View and access to every piece of personal information that has ever existed despite what they keep saying in their relaxed, open-necked shirt, hacky sack-playing manner."


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Thursday, 26 November 2009

The pungent smell of money

What has been the best investment in China this year? Gold? Copper? No, the humble garlic bulb. Why? Because of swine flu.

Simple.

What is more sinister is the rumours of "bulb hording" - the Chinese are learning about the dark arts of capitalism very quickly indeed.

I like this story. I am not sure why, but I like it.

Hold Your Nose: Garlic Is Best Investment In China [PlanetArk]

BEIJING - The price of garlic in China has nearly quadrupled since March, propelled by its very pungency to rank ahead of gold and stocks as the country's best-performing asset this year.

The trigger for the bull run may have been the idea that the potent bulb can ward off H1N1 swine flu, Morgan Stanley economists said.

That chimes with some anecdotal evidence. The China Daily reported last week that a high school in Hangzhou, a prosperous city in eastern China, had bought 200 kg of garlic and forced students to eat it every day for lunch to stay healthy.

"I don't know about H1N1, but it can prevent ordinary colds," Zhang Ping, 74, told Reuters at a vegetable market in Beijing. "Take me. I've not had cold for many years and every year I buy several dozen pounds of garlic."

Others have been looking for darker forces behind the surge.

China Business News said coal mine bosses -- who are often depicted as being both extremely rich and nefarious speculators -- had been playing the garlic market, hoarding bulbs and hauling them between storehouses.

Garlic served as a case study of the asset price appreciation that Morgan Stanley thinks China will have to contend with after a flood of lending by banks to help fight off the global financial crisis.

In some parts of Shandong province, the wholesale price of garlic is up as much as 40-fold.

"Too much liquidity in any market can lead to speculation," analyst Jerry Lou said in a research note this week. "The most recent evidence of asset speculation in China's commodity markets has been for garlic."

But a more mundane factor may lie at the root of it all.

Garlic prices were extremely low last year, convincing many farmers that it was not worth planting the crop again, a wholesale trader was quoted as saying in the Nanfang Daily.

Supply could not keep up with a pick-up in demand from home and abroad, sending prices sky-high, the trader said.

Yi Xianrong, a researcher with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, a top government think-tank, said there was no need for panic.

"The garlic market is cyclical. Price rises are short-term and they will fall again before long," Yi told Reuters.


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Wednesday, 18 November 2009

50 best blogs about China

Another one of those "50 best something or other lists".

This one is on China and includes China Economics Blog.

Some useful sites that might be worth checking out.

50 Best Blogs to Learn All About China[Onlien Schools]

Over the past few decades China has risen to be one of the world’s biggest economic and political powers. Yet even as it has gained increasing recognition on the world stage, many people know little about Chinese culture, day-to-day life and politics. For those who can’t afford to fly around the world to explore in person, these blogs offer a chance to learn more about this ancient culture, modern country and diverse population without ever having to leave home.



Here is the business and industry section:

Business and Industry

Learn more about China’s national and international economics in these blogs.

15. China Law Blog: Learn more about how Chinese law impacts business on this blog.
16. PanAsianBiz: This blog reports news stories from all over Asia, China included.
17. China Economics Blog: Here you’ll get analysis and stats all about China’s economic development.
18. Black China Blog: Check out this site to learn about China’s aluminum and raw materials market.
19. China Business Services Blog: This blog will help you keep up with business and economic news in China.
20. Experience Not Logic: Visit this site to read interesting posts about business and law.
21. Silk Road International Blog: If you want to know more about doing business with China, this blog is a great place to start finding information.
22. Grape Wall of China: Learn about the Chinese wine industry and how it markets to the world’s largest market here.
23. China Goods News: This site can help you learn more about Chinese goods made for export.
24. The China Observer: With great insights and commentary, this site is an essential read on business in China.


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Saturday, 14 November 2009

China Trip

Apologies yet again for some sluggish posting. This time, ironically, the lack of posts is due to the fact that I was actually working in China. Sadly, this blog is still blocked in the middle kingdom.

This is a shame as I have a lot of information that would be useful for students in China specifically regarding education opportunities in the UK.

One issue that is again taxing me is the reliability of data in China. This has always been a bugbear of mine but I am increasingly worried after talking to those at the coal face.

As an economist who has written a number of papers using Chinese data I am beginning to doubt the reliability of any results in empirical papers on China.

Officials in local regions have incentives to massage the figures and I suspect this takes place on a regular basis.

I will post more on my China experience. Having travelled to Beijing, Tianjin and Wuhan the most obvious observation is the sheer size of these cities and the relentless pace of development.

A remarkable, interesting and exciting country.

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Tuesday, 4 August 2009

Where I will not be going to cure my blogging addiction

The Guangxi Qihuang Survival Training Camp sounds like a pretty scary place. There must be an easier way to ween myself off the internet.

Electoshock treatment also sounds a rather drastic method for getting teenagers to stop surfing the net.

The economics link here is the number of internet users in China. The great Chinese firewall is ultimately doomed to fail. China will be a very different place in 10 or 20 years mark my words.

Net addict son 'beaten to death' at camp [SMH]

A teenager was reportedly beaten to death by trainers at a rehabilitation camp in China where his parents had sent him to cure his internet addiction.

The three supervisors who allegedly beat Deng Senshan, 16, were arrested after the boy's death early on Sunday, his father Deng Fei told the Global Times.

"We are investigating a case where a high school student was beaten to death by his camp supervisors. The case is still under investigation," a police officer in Nanning, Guangxi region, was quoted as saying.

Deng Fei said he paid 7000 yuan ($A1190) to give his son a month's training at the Guangxi Qihuang Survival Training Camp to rid him of his addiction to the internet.

But instead, he said, the boy was put in solitary confinement shortly after his arrival and then beaten to death by his trainers who scolded him for running too slowly.

"My son was very healthy and was not a criminal. He just had an internet addiction when I left him at the camp," Deng Fei told the paper.

"We can't believe our only son was beaten to death."

China has the world's largest number of internet users with 338 million -- more than the entire population of the United States.

More than 10 million of the country's 100 million teenage web surfers are internet addicts, the China Daily said, citing a survey by the China Youth internet Association last year.

There is controversy over the treatments for internet addiction and how it is diagnosed. The health ministry last month banned the use of electroshock therapy to treat internet addiction, the China Daily said.


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Thursday, 9 July 2009

Unrest in Xinjiang - live discussion

From the inbox:

The Director of George Washington University’s International Development Studies Program and Cultural Anthropologist Sean Roberts will be available to discuss the growing unrest in Uighur. He has studied the region for 20 years.

The live discussion will take place today (July 8th) at 1 pm ET at the following link:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/discussion/2009/07/07/DI2009070701491.html


Kicking off the discussion, Roberts says:

"The current unrest in Xinjiang is another chapter in a long history of tensions between Han Chinese and Uighurs, but it is mostly the result of the frustrations experienced by Uighurs over the last decade as the rapid pace of Chinese development in the region has brought scores of Han Chinese migrants to Xinjiang and has displaced Uyghurs from their traditional livelihoods and communities. While the violence that has emerged on both sides of the conflict is shocking, the most surprising aspect of the events may be that the tensions had not boiled over into direct confrontations until now.”

Please feel free to submit questions, or share this discussion with your readers. If you have any questions please let me know.

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Monday, 8 June 2009

Why Do Institutions of Higher Education Reward Research While Selling Education?"

One of the initial motivations for this blog was to ensure that prospective Chinese students wanting to study abroad made sure that they invested wisely in the highest quality education at the top Universities.

To that end, the side bar on the right lists some of the top courses in the UK.

The Universities listed tend to be the "best" Universities in terms of research. That raises the question of why or if the best research Universities offer the best education.

My advice holds. A degree from a "top" University is a signal of the quality of the student (given these Universities are often harder to get into). If a student is to invest heavily in human capital accumulation then the returns need to be maximised. Employers are far more likely to take students from the well known "top Universities".

The following paper sheds light on this interesting topic.

Why Do Institutions of Higher Education Reward Research While Selling Education?"

NBER Working Paper No. w14974

DAHLIA REMLER, City University of New York - Baruch College - School of Public Affairs, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Email: Dahlia_Remler@baruch.cuny.edu
ELDA PEMA, Naval Postgraduate School
Email: epema@nps.edu

Higher education institutions and disciplines that traditionally did little research now reward faculty largely based on research, both funded and unfunded. Some worry that faculty devoting more time to research harms teaching and thus harms students' human capital accumulation. The economics literature has largely ignored the reasons for and desirability of this trend. We summarize, review, and extend existing economic theories of higher education to explain why incentives for unfunded research have increased. One theory is that researchers more effectively teach higher order skills and therefore increase student human capital more than non-researchers. In contrast, according to signaling theory, education is not intrinsically productive but only a signal that separates high- and low-ability workers. We extend this theory by hypothesizing that researchers make higher education more costly for low-ability students than do non-research faculty, achieving the separation more efficiently. We describe other theories, including research quality as a proxy for hard-to-measure teaching quality and barriers to entry. Virtually no evidence exists to test these theories or establish their relative magnitudes. Research is needed, particularly to address what employers seek from higher education graduates and to assess the validity of current measures of teaching quality.


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Monday, 18 May 2009

UK's ONS gets retail figures wrong

OK, hands up. I have criticised the reliability of Chinese data regularly on this blog to the extent that I do not believe a lot of the published Chinese macro data.

Interestingly, I did wonder about the robust UK retail numbers that were coming out of the ONS in the UK. Surely UK statistics can be trusted. Surely.

Only now do we get the truth. How hard can it be - honestly. OVERSTATED by 56% - that is simply dreadful.

It is becoming clear that this financial crisis is great for getting the world back on a more realistic track - the party is over - we now need to clear up the mess left behind.

Heads should roll at the ONS. China's statistical office can still learn a lot from this sort of misguided confidence that the head of the ONS showed in their own ability to collect a simple series of data.

There is political capital from posting wrong numbers whether it is to convince a domestic or overseas audience.

ONS gets sums wrong on retail sales [FT]

One of Britain’s most closely watched economic indicators has heavily overstated the quantity of high street sales over the past two years, the Office for National Statistics admitted on Friday.

Britain’s supplier of official statistics conceded that since the financial crisis began in August 2007, it has overstated the volume of retail sales growth by 56 per cent.

Many economists have been worried for some time that the published retail sales figures were too strong and have always received a furious response from the ONS.

Karen Dunnell, the national statistician, wrote to newspapers last October, insisting that “ONS retail statistics are the best available and are not inaccurate”.

She stuck to the same theme in another article, saying economists who had expressed surprise at the strength of ONS retail figures were upset because “City analysts also have a vested interest in not being proved wrong”.

Yet while the ONS head was defending the accuracy of the retail figures, industry experts knew the outdated nature of price measurement in the retail sales index was much more than a triviality.

The ONS previously said that between August 2007 and March 2009 retail sales volume grew 3.6 per cent. The changes announced on Friday mean it will now say the real rise in sales volumes was only 2.3 per cent.

Such a large difference in the one indicator that has persistently given a more positive account of Britain’s economy will cause red faces at the ONS, especially as it had insisted on the superiority of its retail data to unofficial estimates.

So confident has the ONS been that it warns users of the CBI or the British Retail Consortium sales data every month that these figures might not be “fit for purpose”.

The BRC on Friday welcomed the changes, saying they meant the official data would now be more in line with its figures.

The ONS’s old methodology failed to take sufficient account of goods that had risen strongly in price and so under-estimated the true rate of inflation in calculating the headline retail sales volume figures.

The ONS said on Friday it was changing the way it compiled its retail sales data to make sure it “more accurately captures recent trends in retail sales, including where consumers switch purchases to goods that have fallen in price’’.


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Sunday, 3 May 2009

Financial news operations banned in China

I hope this does not mean China finance related blogs will be banned as well - opps I forget - China Economics Blog has been banned shortly after its inception although I lose track whether "blogger" blogs are banned or not these days.

China bans foreign financial news operations [FT]

China raised the spectre of renewed international trade friction over market access for foreign financial information providers as the government said such businesses must not engage in news gathering in China.

The surprise ban on this business area is seen by industry executives as backtracking on an agreement China reached with the US, the EU and Canada in November last year on allowing companies like Bloomberg, Dow Jones and Thomson Reuters to distribute information to financial and corporate clients.

The November deal adopted a loose definition of financial information, including news rather than limiting such information to data such as stock market indices and exchange rates.

It was reached after the US, the EU and Canada lodged a complaint against China at the World Trade Organisation earlier last year over Beijing’s move to make Xinhua, its official news agency and a competitor for the foreign providers in the financial information business, its de facto regulator.

In regulations published on the cabinet’s website on Thursday, the government said foreign financial information providers would be allowed to set up businesses in China and would be regulated by the State Council Information Office. But the rules also said: “foreign financial information providers set up in China ... must not undertake news gathering activities".

The industry had seen the memorandum of understanding signed late last year as a victory of advocates of opening over protectionism.

But on Thursday, people close to the situation said they had the impression that forces intending to protect Xinhua had intervened in the last minute. “There will have to be communication and clarification,” one source said.

Industry executives praised the rules in general as a breakthrough giving foreign players a clear legally-defined role for the first time.

“Thomson Reuters has developed an excellent relationship with SCIO over many years and looks forward to working with them on the successful implementation of the new measures to ensure that financial markets in China are as well informed as their counterparts outside China,” said Henry Manisty, global head of government and regulatory affairs at Thomson Reuters.

Dow Jones and Bloomberg were not immediately available for comment.

China has required foreign news agencies to distribute to media clients only through Xinhua for more than 50 years. This will not change, and the foreign players do not challenge this arrangement for their news agency business which helps the Chinese government ensure news does not reach the public uncensored.

The companies’ financial information services business had been relatively unrestricted until 2006, when China took the controversial step of ordering distribution through an agent wholly-owned by Xinhua.


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Thursday, 9 April 2009

China Economics Blog in at number 2

I like blog rankings where China Economics Blog does well. The recent Bankling blog provides just such a ranking.

Ranking posts are a cheap way of getting extra hits and any good SEO blog has this as a top tip for getting known. Even so, we are happy to play along.

Here is the first section that includes China Economics Blog. Interestingly, the author of the post says that some blogs are serious and others humerus with no middle ground. Surely China Economics Blog is somewhere in the middle? Hmm, the last two posts of mine do place me on the serious side I admit.

Top 50 Economics Blogs [Bankling]

International Perspectives

Some of the economics blogs listed below are humorous and some are dead serious. Some are both. Very little middle ground.

1. Atlantic Blog: Thoughts on politics, economics and culture by William Sjostrom, an American economist in Ireland.
2. China Economics Blog: A place to find news about important issues for China’s economy including economic growth.
3. David Smith: This economics editor for the Sunday Times, London, hashes out his view on this blog.
4. Econlog: Also known as the Library of Economics and Liberty, this blog focuses on using topical books and the news to illustrate economic principles.
5. Economic Dreams - Economic Nightmares: Dave Iverson is an economist who loves nature. On this blog he tracks geopolitics and international finance.
6. Economics Roundtable: A compilation of opinions drawn from a wider variety of economics blogs than you may have thought possible. Your host is Professor William R. Parke of the University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.
7. Heavy Lifting: One economist’s astute perspective on global economic issues.
8. Mises Economics Blog: Founded in 1982, the Mises Institute serves as the world’s leader provider of educational materials about the Austrian School of economics and libertarian political and social theory.
9. Organizations and Markets: Professors Nicolai J. Foss and Peter G. Klein created this blog in 2006 with a focus on organizational economics, strategic management, entrepreneurship, innovation, the economics of institutions, and the history, philosophy, and sociology of science. While academic, it also is global.
10. Stumbling and Mumbling: By all accounts an “extremist, not a fanatic,” this anonymous British blogger shines a different light upon economic topics.
11. The Adam Smith Institute Blog: The Adam Smith Institute is the UK’s leading politically independent and non-profit innovator of free-market economic and social policies.
12. The Austrian Economists: Discussion and expansion on public policy and ideological importance of the Austrian School of Economics.
13. Truck and Barter: Commentary on international economic issues, with a take where “sympathy and hedonism collide.”
14. VOXEU: Research-based policy analysis and commentary from leading economists. They are partnering with the UK government to collect global perspectives on the G20.


Thursday, 26 March 2009

How China views the world?

One has to laugh at the recent Economist front cover:



The people over at Strange Maps discuss the finer details of the map. For example, they write:

In the ocean immediately beyond the city are a few islands of particular interest to China:

* Japan: the old rival, whose rapid modernisation preceded China’s, but now eclipsed and reduced to a few harmless islands.

* Taiwan: similarly superseded by China’s massive economic progress, but still relevant as the rival claimant to be China’s ‘legitimate’ government. Even more repulsive to mainland China is a competing strand of current Taiwanese politics, striving for ‘independence’ and thus eschewing the ‘One China’ policy still officially espoused by both the communist mainland and nationalist Taiwan.

* Hong Kong: the former British crown colony that was handed back to China in 1997 and which has been allowed a degree of autonomy unthinkable elsewhere in China (e.g. Tibet) under an agreement often referred to as ‘One Country, Two Systems’, whereby Hong Kong was allowed to retain its capitalist system and its civil liberties, including inchoate democratic institutions.

* Spratly Islands: a sprawling archipelago of over 600 islets, atols and reefs in the South China Sea, between Vietnam and the Philippines, with barely 5 square kilometers of dry land between them. Because of their strategic location, the Spratlys, or parts of them, are claimed and partly occupied by China, Taiwan, Vietnam, the Philippines and Malaysia - and as such are a flashpoint waiting to happen.


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Friday, 23 January 2009

China statistics - to believe or not to believe?

I have stated on numerous occasions that I do not trust the statistics coming out of China and for good reason.

It appears other economists share my skepticism. So is China in recession or not? To get 2 quarters of NEGATIVE growth would be required. This would be pushing it but I suspect we are not far off.

Economists treat statistics from Beijing with caution [FT]

Beijing boasted bright blue skies yesterday, but for the nation's economists the outlook is not quite so clear.

When the Chinese economy was growing at more than 10 per cent a year, few people stopped to question the official numbers. The soaring tower blocks and acres of new factories made the story real. Yet now that analysts are scrambling to work out just how quickly the economy is slowing, the holes in the official statistics are looming larger.

China said yesterday the economy expanded 6.8 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2008 compared with the same period the year before, the lowest rate in seven years. However, the raft of figures out yesterday did little to clarify just how long the slowdown would last and left some economists complaining the official numbers were flawed.

"China is now the third largest economy in the world but we have no reliable data on consumption or housing," says Ben Simpfendorfer, RBS economist. "It is difficult to get an accurate view of two of the main growth drivers over the last decade."

The government, which has set a target of 8 per cent growth this year, admitted the economy had cooled rapidly but said there were already tentative signs the worst might be over.

Industrial production rose by 5.7 per cent in December, a modest improvement on November, and retail sales growth remained high at 19 per cent. The surge in new bank lending at the end of last year has been interpreted by some as a sign the government's fiscal and monetary stimulus plans are beginning to work.

Ma Jiantang, head of the National Bureau of Statistics, aimed for a poetic touch to describe the positive signs. It was not yet clear if they were sustainable, he said, but they could be "like sunshine in a cold winter, light at the break of a dark dawn and sparks that can turn into a roaring fire".

Yet there are plenty of indications of a more prolonged slowdown. Imports dropped sharply in November and December, including of machinery which suggests weak investment in manufacturing. And although there have been signs that housing transactions are increasing, the large volume of unsold new properties in many cities could hold back new investment this year.

"Developers will be very cautious about getting new construction going again," says Joan Wang, head of research at the Beijing office of Savills, the property services group.

Economists also caution against reading too much into some of the data. China releases gross domestic product figures on a year-on-year basis, but does not provide data from one quarter to another. After stripping out seasonal adjustments, some economists tentatively estimated the economy barely grew at all from the third to the fourth quarters and could even have declined.

The official figures for house prices are believed by some to understate both past increases and current decreases in prices. Moreover, the retail sales figures, which appear to indicate buoyant consumer demand, are treated with caution, because they include some government purchases and wholesale buying.

"Retail sales number should not be trusted," says Arthur Kroeber, editor of China Economic Quarterly. The headline numbers last year grew much faster than urban incomes, which he says is "implausible", especially given the apparent slowdown in consumer spending on items such as car.


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Tuesday, 20 January 2009

HSBC and its China bank stakes

HSBC is in trouble. Its share price is down from over 800p in October 2008 to around 500p today with a market capitalisation of around £60.8bn.

The cause of a lot of its current problems was the disastrous purchase HFC - a US sub-prime lender that has sucked in cash (billions) and shows little sign of surviving. Despite this HSBC is clinging on to this investment.

It appears to have a similar attitude to its Chinese investments in Bank of Communications and insurer Ping An.

This is commendable and I suspect this is a good long term strategy. Indeed I would argue that HSBC should offload its US assets and buy more in China at current prices.

The decision by HSBC to keep the faith in its Chinese assets led to the following quote from a Bank of China spokesman. This blog post is inspired by this quote:

"We will not forget partners who sent charcoal in snowy weather and those who extracted the firewood from under the cauldron".

To get "cauldron" into a modern business paper such as the FT is impressive. I just have to work out which role HSBC is playing in relation to this quote. One imagines that they are pleased with HSBC for staying put and not selling off existing Chinese assets.

For now I think this is the right decision.

HSBC’s dead leg [FT]

HSBC dares to be different. Selling stakes in Shanghai-based Bank of Communications or insurer Ping An, currently registering almost $10bn of unrealised gains, could go a long way to resolving nagging doubts as to the bank’s capital adequacy. But the bank is staying put, to the delight of one lyrical Bank of China spokesman: “We will not forget partners who sent us charcoal in snowy weather and those who extracted the firewood from under the cauldron.”

The principled stance is commendable. But HSBC’s show of faith in China underlines the incongruity of its continued commitment to HFC, its US consumer finance business. The recent refurbishment of HFC’s Illinois headquarters – kitted out in the group livery – suggests that management is in no mood to sever ties with a business it bought six years ago.

Why not? This is what normally happens when investments turn out to be stinkers. HFC will have racked up losses of over $13bn by the end of next year – on top of the $15bn purchase price and $4.4bn of capital injections so far, Goldman Sachs estimates. More capital is probably on the way to pay down HFC debt, and cover realised losses as mortgage customers mail HSBC their housekeys. Whether HSBC needs more capital at the group level is the wrong question. What matters is that this dead leg has dragged it into the mire. HSBC’s share price has fallen by a quarter in the last month, almost rubbing out its premium to the sector. Knight Vinke, the dogged shareholder activist, says that most of the radical options for HFC – walking away, a debt restructuring, a spin-off with equity dowry – have been dismissed by management on the basis of a recovery in 2009, now unlikely, and by reference to the potential, but far from certain, danger of doing serious damage to the bank’s reputation. Management needs to come up with more compelling reasons for continuing to shovel in capital.


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Tuesday, 6 January 2009

Internet content crackdown continues

Google continues to get a pounding in China as do many other content providers as China renews its attacks.

If the sole aim is to remove porn then there can be few complaints (except from the billion or so that would undoubtedly access said material).

ChinaEconomicsblog will remain "vulgar" free although I believe we might still be blocked by the great firewall of China.

China cracks down on internet content [FT]

China’s government has accused the country’s leading internet search engines and web portals, including Google, of threatening public morals by carrying pornographic and vulgar content.

While Beijing regularly launches web censorship campaigns, the new crackdown is the first in which the government has targeted heavyweight companies such as Google and Baidu, the local rival that leads the Chinese search market. During the last campaign about a year ago, the authorities listed only small and little-known websites as responsible for spreading unhealthy content.

The 19 internet sites cited by the government on Monday included Sina, Sohu, Tencent and NetEase, among the country’s biggest web portals and each run by overseas listed companies, and blog hosting websites and discussion forums such as Tianya.

The move comes as the political leadership faces a raft of challenges, many of them organised through the internet.

Government censors are currently busy blocking reporting and debate about Charter 08, an appeal for democratic reform which has attracted signatures from hundreds of prominent intellectuals. Other forms of dissent, such as the voicing of demands for compensation in China’s poisoned milk scandal, have also been organised through the internet.

The government on Monday directed its criticism strictly at content that could be damaging to children or young people.

Search results on the pages of Google and Baidu had “large amounts of pornographic links [and] after notification from the complaint centre, the site did not take effective countermeasures”, the State Council Information Office said in a joint statement with other agencies distributed through official media.

People familiar with the internet industry in China said the move would serve as a powerful reminder of the self-censorship the authorities expect from internet portals.

Cai Mingzhao, a senior official at the SCIO, said that some websites had exploited legal loopholes and warned of stern punishment.

Late last year, state media attacked Baidu and later also other search engines for carrying links to unlicensed pharmaceutical websites. “Looking back, that was the first signal of a tougher tone in dealing with internet companies,” said one internet executive.

Nevertheless, the websites pilloried by the government censors were caught by surprise on Monday. A manager at Sohu said, ”We find this extremely strange and are still figuring out what exactly happened.”

Chen Tong, editor-in-chief at Sina, China’s leading news portal, said there was no point in being surprised about the crackdown. “Ensuring that your content is OK is a content provider’s responsibility in the first place,” he said.

Neither Baidu nor Google responded to requests for comment.

On Chinese blogging sites, pictures of scantily clad girls can often be seen along one side of the screen or in pop up windows. These were still appearing on Sina and other blog hosting pages on Monday.

China has the world’s largest number of internet users, some 390m according to the government’s last count.


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Tuesday, 9 December 2008

The future is "Shanzhai" - faking it for real

A recent article in the People's Daily Online reminded me of a recent experience in China. On numerous occasions I was offered a fake iphone.

Given the technical quality of this product it amazed me that such an item could be faked in the sense that it actually worked and how it could be done so cheaply. Whilst this shows up the profit margins that Apple must make on these products it also shows the skills that are inherent in Chinese firms. Even replication takes considerable effort.

It turns out that the market for fakes has a name - "Shanzhai". This article is interesting on many levels but does suggest that Western brands are fighting a losing battle in China.

I am still left a little confused. Take this quote from the article below:

Xiang said compared with real ones, there was still some way to go in terms of functions, quality and after-sale services, but these "Shanzhai" items were still worth buying.

"They were usable and cheap. They look exactly like real ones and make me cool. That's enough for me," Xiang said.


Now I understand the "coolness" bit but this suggests that a fake iphone will look like an iphone but not work like an iphone. However, at least some elements must work even if it is just the phone bit. It is not hard to see why demand would be so high it such a status driven country that is just discovering the joys of capitalism and conspicuous consumption.

The Hiphone maker is also refreshingly honest stating that he accepts that Apple might sue him. I expect by then the profits will have been safely stashed away and the company will disappear - IF Apple are ever able to find him. The costs are small and the gains are huge.

It looks like the word "Shanzhai" has gone mainstream.

More importantly, China is only going though the stage of development that was followed by Japan in the 1980s. Japan imitated and then realised it that it could do better than the West. China is merely following this well trodden path to development. The West innovates and provides the creative spark, the East copies, improves and takes the products mainstream at a cheaper price.

The only solution for the West is to keep running to stand still and maintain high levels of R&D spending as China is catching up very fast.

China Exclusive: Faking it for money or fun? [People's Daily Online]

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Products imitating famous brands have not been uncommon around China for a couple of years - and now they have a unified name, a brand if you like, "Shanzhai".

The Chinese word "Shanzhai", literally meaning small mountain village in the dialect of southeast China's Guangdong Province. It became a popular name for fakes when "Shanzhai Cellphones", churned out by small-scale manufacturers in southern China, quickly seized a considerable chunk of the mainland market over the past two years.

Now "Shanzhai" has been given with a broader meaning of fake, unprofessional or homemade, a slang for anything that steals ideas or styles from already well-known stuff.

Imitated electronics, including cellphones, MP3s and even laptops, are the most common "Shanzhai" products. Despite the possible infringement of intellectual property rights, they are much liked by young people and those on lower incomes.

Xiang Lianfei, 25, a salesman in Shanghai, bought a fake Nokia N95, a fake iPod Nano and a fake Rado watch costing a modest 2,000 yuan, while the three genuine items would have cost him more than eight times that amount.

Xiang said compared with real ones, there was still some way to go in terms of functions, quality and after-sale services, but these "Shanzhai" items were still worth buying.

"They were usable and cheap. They look exactly like real ones and make me cool. That's enough for me," Xiang said.


And Apple Inc. might be shocked by the hot-sale copycat HiPhone, on the market while its genuine product iPhone has yet to go on sale on the mainland. Qixingjian, a HiPhone dealer running an online shop on Taobao.com, sold out 280 items within one month.

The company which manufactured HiPhone, with its brand slogan of "not iPhone, better than iPhone", had its own registered trade mark and a complete operating system.

"We know Apple may sue us, but it's driven by huge market demand. Our company needs to copy from famous brands to survive first, and we will improve our R&D and seek further development in the future," said Zhang Haizhen, vice-president of the company. Zhang chose to be identified by his own name without mentioning the name of his company.

The HiPhone company sold out about 5,000 HiPhones in the past three months, and according to Zhang, at least one million other fake iPhones had been put on sale in the mainland market, some of which were even rip-offs of HiPhones!

Zhang claimed his company was developing the technology of integrating two mobile network operators onto one cellphone.

"Imitation is the first stage for all mobile companies," he insisted, "but in the long run, it's only dog-eat-dog, that's why we are working on our home-made independent brand," he said.

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Still, the word's popularity is overwhelming. Not only is the word used in commercial TV programs and dramas and about ordinary people whose appearance looks like certain celebrities, but also many grassroots parodies made by ordinary people have been nicknamed "Shanzhai."

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But still some disagreed. Zhou Xinning, an Internet commentator, said "Shanzhai" products had had a great impact on some industries and the government should pay special attention to the new phenomenon.

"We have 'Shanzhai' things everywhere, especially on the Internet. A flood of 'Shanzhai' was like junk. Policy guidance is in need," Zhou said.

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"'Shanzhai' companies should always keep in mind that independent innovation is crucial for long-term development. 'Shanzhai' creation by common people is the new form of our mainstream's sub-culture," Xia said.


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Saturday, 6 December 2008

China Blog Awards

Chinalyst are again running their China blog of the year award.



Click here to vote.

VOTE

I have no chance of winning (sob, sob) but it is nice to be nominated. A top half finish would be nice though.

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Monday, 3 November 2008

Online money in China - 20% tax?

The ban on Chinese making money from online games was always difficult to enforce. Cash poor, time rich Chinese could build up "characters" and sell them on to cash rich, time short western players who wanted to take a short-cut to the top.

Making it legal but subject to a 20% tax will be equally hard to enforce. However, this is at least a step in the right direction. Online gaming skill could become another good Chinese export.

The idea that these taxes can be collected still demonstrates that the Chinese government has yet to come to terms with the reality of the Internet.

China U-turn on online money-making [FT]

Less than two years after “strictly forbidding” players of online computer games from making money from trade in virtual currencies, China has announced a 20 per cent tax for such income.

The apparently contradictory rulings from different arms of the Chinese state highlight the difficulties faced by governments worldwide as they seek to regulate and tax the growing economic activity centred on “massively multi-player online role-playing games”.

Tax authorities generally take the view that all income from online business should be taxable, even if profits are derived from virtual worlds.

However, the practicalities of collecting those taxes – and valuing virtual assets – continue to be elusive.

Trade in virtual items – ranging from “gold” coins to magic swords and in-game property rights – is estimated to be worth more than Rmb10bn ($1.45bn, €1.15bn, £900m) a year in China alone, according to consultancy iResearch.

The widening trade in the virtual money used within games – and their burgeoning use for other transactions – last year prompted China’s ruling Communist party and the central bank to ban trading in virtual currencies and their use for purchases of “material products”.

However, in what amounts to tacit recognition that last year’s restrictions have had little impact, the State Administration of Taxation has announced that income from the sale of virtual currency with “increased value” is taxable at the same 20 per cent rate applied to real estate and other transactions.

Beijing tax officials declined to explain how they would implement the vaguely worded ruling, with local media saying detailed regulations could be announced in the coming days. However, Chinese analysts and games players suggested that the authorities’ attempt to tax the virtual currency trade would fare no better than the previous effort to ban it.

The contradictions between last year’s order and the tax ruling showed that authorities were “not very clear about online regulation”, said one industry analyst.

“If they can successfully implement this tax in the next two years, then I will jump over Mount Everest,” sneered one contributor to a discussion of the ruling on the popular Netease portal.

Another commentator involved in the growing business of “farming” virtual money and items used in games for sale to cash-rich but time-poor players in the US, Europe and other developed countries asked rhetorically if he or she could expect to benefit from the same tax incentives as other Chinese export businesses.

“I sell virtual currency to foreigners – will I get an export tax rebate?” the commentator said.

Despite last year’s restrictions, trade in virtual currencies used in games such as “World of Warcraft” or issued by online companies such as Hong Kong-listed internet group Tencent is carried out openly on Chinese auction websites.

Tencent’s widely popular “QQ Coins”, for example, were on Sunday being offered at a rate of one to Rmb0.91.


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Sunday, 20 July 2008

Honey trapped in China

A great story that involves sex, Gordon Brown, spying and government officials. I wonder who qualifies to be trapped in this manner? Do mediocre economists count?

This could have of course simply been a common theft but what about those hallmarks...

Gordon Brown aide a victim of honeytrap operation by Chinese agents [Times]

A top aide to Gordon Brown has been a suspected victim of a “honeytrap” operation by Chinese intelligence agents.

The aide, a senior Downing Street adviser who was with the prime minister on a trip to China earlier this year, had his BlackBerry phone stolen after being picked up by a Chinese woman who had approached him in a Shanghai hotel disco.

The aide agreed to return to his hotel with the woman. He reported the BlackBerry missing the next morning.

The aide, whose identity is known to The Sunday Times, immediately reported the theft to the prime minister’s Special Branch protection team and was informally reprimanded.

Monday, 7 July 2008

Bloggers and anti-bloggers

Last month Business Week published an interesting article on the corporate war against disgruntled bloggers. This article shows the power of the blog and forums to cause corporate embarrassment and to hit profits and why the corporations are fighting back.

Inside the War Against China's Blogs [Business Week]

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Daqi is one of a new breed of company that helps multinationals navigate China's perilous Web. Nike, (NKE) PepsiCo (PEP), McDonald's (MCD), French cosmetics maker L'Oréal (LRLCY), and others have hired the likes of Daqi, fellow Beijing outfit Chinese Web Union, and Shanghai-based CIC. These companies charge $500-$25,000 monthly to monitor postings and squelch negative information or to create positive buzz.

This year has brought the Net monitors plenty of opportunities to win clients as hot-tempered bloggers have attacked global companies for perceived slights to Chinese culture. Coca-Cola (KO) and French retailer Carrefour were lambasted for what was seen as support for Tibetan independence. McDonald's, KFC (YUM), and Nokia (NOK) have been tarred for allegedly being stingy with relief money after the Sichuan earthquake. And Citroën had to apologize for an ad featuring a scowling image of Chairman Mao. "If it touches on nationalism, or if the client clearly made a mistake and disrespected a customer, that's dangerous," says Sam Flemming, CIC's founder.


Paying a company to "seed" good vibes about a company appears to be rather underhand but clearly it goes on. When reading forums it is therefore essential to take the history and reputation of the poster into account and whether they are regulars.

The companies also can help clients win sympathy. Metersbonwe Group, a domestic apparel retailer, faced eviction from its flagship outlet in Shanghai last year when the local government wanted to replace Chinese-owned brands with big names such as Nike and Adidas (ADDDF). Daqi seeded the Net with opinions linking the issue to a simultaneous controversy over Starbucks' (SBUX) presence in Beijing's Forbidden City. While Metersbonwe ended up losing the space, Daqi says the pressure helped the retailer win a lease for a larger store. "In Internet forums we said: A Chinese brand is being pushed out while a foreign brand is still located in the Forbidden City,'" says Daqi's Zhou. "We got intense and rapid response. People were very angry." Metersbonwe confirmed that Daqi helped with the Shanghai case but declined to comment further.


So how much does it cost? A lot less than you would think. This is a cheap way to advertise and create goodwill unless, that is, it backfires when a company is found to be using these low paid bloggers to attack rivals.

Plenty of companies are willing to pay for positive spin. PR outfits hire students to write postings that boost certain brands and criticize the competition, says a staffer at a Western PR firm in Beijing. The job description of one online help-wanted ad reads: "Publicize and popularize [products] via online forums and blogs. Send at least 50 propaganda posts per day." Workers are offered 1.5 cents per post.



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Tuesday, 10 June 2008

Reith Lectures - Chinese vistas

BBC Radio 4 present a series of lectures on China by Professor Jonathan Spence.

Highly recommended listening (pod casts available) for those interested in China.

Reith Lectures - Chinese Vistas

Lecture 1:

Chinese Vistas: In a lecture recorded at the British Library in London, Jonathan Spence reflects on China's most enduring thinker, Confucius. Who was this man, what did he believe in, and what contemporary relevance does his message have, nearly 2,500 years after his death? The Confucian message has survived countless attacks and is being recycled by the Chinese Communist leadership today.

Lecture 2:

Spence examines China's relations with the United Kingdom through three centuries of trade, warfare, unequal treaties and missionary endeavours that shaped their mutual perceptions.