And so it has come to pass.
This article also touches on transport costs - an important element of trade theory. The implications of such asymmetric costs requires a little thought.
The final comment in this article is also worth highlighting:
“The Chinese customs are very good at sending goods out of the country,” says Mr Kashani. “They’re not so good at getting goods in.”
Welcome to the world of non-tariff barriers.
Quality issues open gap in Chinese retail [FT]
For the past two decades, John Kashani has been buying cheap goods from Chinese factories and exporting them to the US. Now he wants to sell made-in-the-US goods in China, and to do it from Yiwu, a provincial city that has become a shop window to the world for Chinese manufacturers and one of the country’s main export hubs.
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As the quality and safety of Chinese-made products are questioned, Mr Kashani sees an opportunity to enter China by picking out the US-made goods he sources from Wal-Mart – from chocolates to toilet cleaners – and selling them to a growing Chinese middle class with its own quality concerns about Chinese goods.
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China shipped $287.8bn (£141.9bn, €196.6bn) worth of goods to the US last year, while US exports to China totalled just $55.2bn, according to US statistics. What this means for Mr Kashani is that while shipping one container from China to the US costs $3,000, going the other way – a trip many container ships are normally forced to make with empty containers – costs only $900.
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“The Chinese customs are very good at sending goods out of the country,” says Mr Kashani. “They’re not so good at getting goods in.”
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