Monday 3 March 2008

Is China Trapped in Transition?

This is not only an interesting question but one covered by a new report from the Foundation for Law, Justice and Society at Oxford.

Follow the link below to get free access to all of these papers [PDFs].

I believe that China, if it is in any trap at all, will be able to extract itself. The commodity price inflation and environmental decline will not go away but the energy and vitality of the Chinese people should see growth continue apace for a while yet.

Is China Trapped in Transition?

Volume 2: Is China Trapped in Transition? Implications for Future ReformsFront cover of Trapped in Transition Volume

This special report brings together a selection of leading experts to critically evaluate the controversial thesis that China's transition is stalled. The collection of policy briefs addresses how China compares with other countries at a similar level of development; whether China's gradualist approach to reforms has been successful or produced entrenched vested interests capable of blocking further reforms; and the consequences for China and the world were China to become trapped in transition.

Is China Trapped in Transition?
Introduction: Randall Peerenboom

Is China's Transition Trapped and What Should the West Do about it?
Policy Brief 1: Minxin Pei

The Political Economy of China's Transition
Policy Brief 2: Joseph Fewsmith

China's Transition: Predatory State or Developmental Autocracy?
Policy Brief 3: Barry Naughton

China: Suffering from Growth Pains or Doomed to Stagnation?
Policy Brief 4: Dali L. Yang

Are China's Legal Reforms Stalled?
Policy Brief 5: Randall Peerenboom

Traps, Gaps, and Law: Prospects and Challenges for China's Reforms
Policy Brief 6: Jacques deLisle

China's Transition and the Limits of the American Constitutional Perspective
Policy Brief 7: Michael W. Dowdle

The Chinese Banking Sector
Policy Brief 8: Victor Shih

The Role of Foreign Investment in China's Transition
Policy Brief 9: Lester Ross

China's Trapped Transition Reconsidered
Policy Brief 10: Minxin Pei